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 • Modèle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnières du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Août 2020

Août 2020 - Septembre 2020 - Octobre 2020 - Novembre 2020 - Décembre 2020 - Janvier 2021


Anomalie de la température à 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
03/07/2020 06Z+-0 °C-0.4 °C+0.4 °C+1.7 °C+0.9 °C-2.8 °C-0.4 °C
03/07/2020 00Z-2.4 °C-1.7 °C-1.8 °C+0.6 °C-1.2 °C-4.2 °C-1.5 °C
02/07/2020 18Z-0.4 °C-0.2 °C+1.4 °C+1.6 °C+-0 °C-1.9 °C-0.2 °C
02/07/2020 12Z-0.5 °C+-0 °C+0.6 °C+1.7 °C+0.2 °C-2.4 °C+0.2 °C
02/07/2020 06Z-2.8 °C-1.7 °C-1.3 °C+0.5 °C-1.8 °C-4.1 °C-2.2 °C
02/07/2020 00Z-3.2 °C-2.3 °C-2.8 °C+0.1 °C-2 °C-5.2 °C-2.3 °C
01/07/2020 18Z-1.5 °C-1.5 °C+0.4 °C+0.6 °C-1 °C-2.9 °C-0.8 °C
01/07/2020 12Z-1.5 °C-0.4 °C-0.3 °C+1.5 °C-0.6 °C-3.1 °C-0.8 °C
01/07/2020 06Z+0.1 °C-1 °C+0.7 °C+1.5 °C+1.2 °C-1.5 °C+0.4 °C
01/07/2020 00Z-0.8 °C-0.5 °C+1.1 °C+1.7 °C-0.2 °C-2.1 °C-0.3 °C
30/06/2020 18Z+0.3 °C+0.5 °C+1.7 °C+2 °C+0.8 °C-1.5 °C+0.1 °C
30/06/2020 12Z+0.3 °C+1.2 °C+0.3 °C+1 °C+1.2 °C-0.8 °C+2.1 °C
30/06/2020 06Z-2.9 °C-1.6 °C-1.2 °C+0.8 °C-2 °C-5.1 °C-3.3 °C
30/06/2020 00Z+0.4 °C-0.1 °C+0.5 °C+2.7 °C+1.5 °C-2.2 °C+0.1 °C
29/06/2020 18Z-0.1 °C-0.8 °C-0.5 °C+1.7 °C+1.1 °C-2.4 °C-0.4 °C
29/06/2020 12Z-1.4 °C+0.7 °C-0.3 °C+1.3 °C-0.3 °C-1.6 °C+0.1 °C
29/06/2020 06Z-2.5 °C-1.8 °C-1.3 °C+0.6 °C-1.2 °C-4.8 °C-2.4 °C
29/06/2020 00Z-1 °C-0.8 °C-0.2 °C+1.6 °C+0.2 °C-3.5 °C-1.6 °C
28/06/2020 18Z-0.1 °C-0.4 °C+0.7 °C+2.4 °C+1.1 °C-2.4 °C+0.2 °C
28/06/2020 12Z-3 °C-1.3 °C-1.7 °C+0.8 °C-1.8 °C-4.1 °C-2.2 °C
28/06/2020 06Z+0.5 °C+-0 °C+0.8 °C+2.5 °C+1.2 °C-1.7 °C+0.4 °C
28/06/2020 00Z-0.3 °C+0.9 °C+0.8 °C+1.9 °C+0.5 °C-2 °C+0.3 °C
27/06/2020 18Z-2 °C-1 °C-1.4 °C+0.9 °C-1 °C-3.7 °C-1.1 °C
27/06/2020 12Z+0 °C+0.4 °C+1.3 °C+2.3 °C+1.1 °C-1.9 °C+0.1 °C
27/06/2020 06Z-2.1 °C-1.8 °C-1.8 °C+0.5 °C-0.8 °C-4.5 °C-1.9 °C
27/06/2020 00Z-0.9 °C-0.6 °C-0.7 °C+1.1 °C+0.2 °C-3.1 °C-0.5 °C
26/06/2020 18Z+0.3 °C+0 °C+0.3 °C+1.4 °C+1.4 °C-1.8 °C+0.9 °C
26/06/2020 12Z-0.9 °C+0.2 °C+0.6 °C+1.1 °C+0.2 °C-1.8 °C+0.4 °C
26/06/2020 06Z-1.7 °C-1.1 °C-1 °C+0.4 °C-0.5 °C-3.6 °C-1 °C
26/06/2020 00Z-1.3 °C-0.2 °C-0.2 °C+1.2 °C-0.2 °C-2.9 °C-0.6 °C
Moyenne-1 °C-0.6 °C-0.2 °C+1.3 °C-0.1 °C-2.9 °C-0.6 °C

Anomalie de la température à 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
03/07/2020 06Z+0.4 °C-1.9 °C-0.6 °C+0.4 °C+1 °C-0.8 °C-0.3 °C
03/07/2020 00Z-1.9 °C-3 °C-2.6 °C-1.9 °C-1.2 °C-2.8 °C-1.9 °C
02/07/2020 18Z-0.5 °C-1 °C+0.5 °C+0.6 °C-0.6 °C-0.4 °C-0.9 °C
02/07/2020 12Z-0.1 °C-1.4 °C-0.3 °C-0.5 °C+-0 °C-0.6 °C+0 °C
02/07/2020 06Z-1.9 °C-2.1 °C-1.5 °C-1.1 °C-1.7 °C-2.4 °C-2.5 °C
02/07/2020 00Z-2.5 °C-3.3 °C-3.4 °C-1.6 °C-1.8 °C-3.7 °C-2.4 °C
01/07/2020 18Z-0.2 °C-1.3 °C+0.4 °C-0.7 °C-0.2 °C-0.5 °C-0.6 °C
01/07/2020 12Z-0.8 °C-1.9 °C-0.8 °C-0.2 °C-0.5 °C-1.7 °C-1.1 °C
01/07/2020 06Z+1.3 °C-1.5 °C+0.5 °C-0.1 °C+1.8 °C+0.1 °C+1.1 °C
01/07/2020 00Z+0.2 °C-0.1 °C+0.9 °C+0.7 °C+0.2 °C+0.1 °C-0.5 °C
30/06/2020 18Z+0.2 °C-0.1 °C+1.5 °C+0.1 °C+0.3 °C+0.5 °C+0.1 °C
30/06/2020 12Z+1.2 °C-0.2 °C+0.2 °C-0.3 °C+1.7 °C+1 °C+1.9 °C
30/06/2020 06Z-2.6 °C-3.5 °C-2.5 °C-1.1 °C-2.2 °C-3.8 °C-4.1 °C
30/06/2020 00Z+1 °C-1.5 °C-0.3 °C+1 °C+1.4 °C-0.3 °C+0.1 °C
29/06/2020 18Z+0.4 °C-1.9 °C-0.9 °C-0.1 °C+0.6 °C-0.9 °C-0.1 °C
29/06/2020 12Z-0.1 °C+-0 °C+0.1 °C-0.6 °C-0.1 °C+0.1 °C+0.1 °C
29/06/2020 06Z-2.2 °C-3.3 °C-3 °C-1.8 °C-1.6 °C-3.6 °C-2.7 °C
29/06/2020 00Z-0.7 °C-2.4 °C-0.8 °C-0.5 °C-0.2 °C-2 °C-1.5 °C
28/06/2020 18Z+0.3 °C-2 °C-0.3 °C+0.2 °C+0.5 °C-0.9 °C-0.1 °C
28/06/2020 12Z-2.2 °C-3 °C-2.4 °C-1.7 °C-2.2 °C-2.5 °C-2.3 °C
28/06/2020 06Z+2 °C-1.1 °C+1 °C+2 °C+2.4 °C+0.4 °C+0.9 °C
28/06/2020 00Z+0.7 °C-0.5 °C+0.5 °C+0.6 °C+0.5 °C+0.2 °C+0.3 °C
27/06/2020 18Z-1.6 °C-2.4 °C-2.3 °C-1.7 °C-1.2 °C-2.3 °C-1.5 °C
27/06/2020 12Z+1.3 °C-1.2 °C+0.3 °C+1 °C+1.5 °C-0.2 °C+0.4 °C
27/06/2020 06Z-1.7 °C-3 °C-2.3 °C-1.5 °C-1.2 °C-3.2 °C-2.2 °C
27/06/2020 00Z-0.7 °C-2.5 °C-2 °C-0.7 °C-0.3 °C-1.8 °C-0.9 °C
26/06/2020 18Z+0.7 °C-1.3 °C-0.6 °C-0.8 °C+1.3 °C-0.1 °C+1 °C
26/06/2020 12Z+0.3 °C-0.9 °C+0.3 °C-0.2 °C+0.6 °C-0.1 °C+0.5 °C
26/06/2020 06Z-1.3 °C-2.4 °C-1.5 °C-1.9 °C-0.8 °C-2 °C-1.2 °C
26/06/2020 00Z-0.7 °C-1.8 °C-1.1 °C-0.2 °C-0.4 °C-1.4 °C-1.1 °C
Moyenne-0.4 °C-1.8 °C-0.8 °C-0.4 °C-0.1 °C-1.2 °C-0.7 °C

Anomalie de quantité de précipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
03/07/2020 06Z+69.1 %+3.2 %-5.9 %+75.2 %+11.2 %+80 %+15.6 %
03/07/2020 00Z+69.8 %+96.9 %+72.6 %-10.4 %+27.4 %+14.2 %+12.8 %
02/07/2020 18Z+2.5 %-61.3 %+21.3 %-89.6 %-63.7 %+32.7 %-27.3 %
02/07/2020 12Z+23.6 %-9.6 %+31.9 %+29.6 %-1.8 %+107.9 %+15.7 %
02/07/2020 06Z-3.8 %-3.1 %+49.8 %-5 %-18.5 %+74.8 %+19.8 %
02/07/2020 00Z+106.1 %+194.2 %+36.5 %-56.1 %+38.2 %+99.4 %+72.1 %
01/07/2020 18Z+53 %-15.1 %-21.1 %+65 %+21.2 %+32.7 %-9.8 %
01/07/2020 12Z+92.2 %+180.3 %+129.4 %+14.7 %+42.4 %+107.3 %+25.1 %
01/07/2020 06Z+118.9 %-31.3 %+136.2 %+62.5 %+66 %+65.7 %+71.1 %
01/07/2020 00Z+128.2 %-0.1 %+47.9 %+51.7 %-19.2 %+216.5 %+66.1 %
30/06/2020 18Z-23 %-25.4 %-43.4 %+9.7 %-49.6 %+32.7 %-12.8 %
30/06/2020 12Z+46 %+79.6 %+135.7 %-19.2 %-16.2 %+35.6 %-34.6 %
30/06/2020 06Z+0.2 %-97.1 %-65.4 %-53.1 %-9.4 %-52.1 %-31.9 %
30/06/2020 00Z-1.9 %+2 %+139.6 %+43.1 %-22.6 %+31.1 %-28.6 %
29/06/2020 18Z+118.2 %+80.7 %+261.3 %-71.5 %-58.3 %+116 %+38.5 %
29/06/2020 12Z+75.6 %+70.4 %+189.9 %+70.7 %-16.8 %+146.1 %+43.5 %
29/06/2020 06Z+10.9 %+184.3 %-27.8 %-34.6 %-11.7 %-20.1 %+4.6 %
29/06/2020 00Z+39.6 %-52 %+33.2 %-53.4 %-33.9 %+102.1 %+43.6 %
28/06/2020 18Z+122.6 %-41.8 %+131.6 %-55.3 %-39.9 %-12.7 %-24.8 %
28/06/2020 12Z+96.2 %+261.7 %+44.1 %-66.8 %-70.4 %+145.2 %+14.9 %
28/06/2020 06Z+65.5 %+277.1 %+239.1 %-7.5 %-33 %+65.8 %-57.1 %
28/06/2020 00Z+58.3 %+151.2 %+184 %+32.4 %-8 %+161.4 %-14.2 %
27/06/2020 18Z+164.4 %-45.2 %+57.7 %+134.9 %+65.9 %+20.3 %+16.4 %
27/06/2020 12Z+87.4 %+73.5 %+35.1 %+66.1 %-38.8 %+95.6 %-5.8 %
27/06/2020 06Z+11.2 %-79.7 %-8.6 %+29.6 %-35.3 %+83 %+25.7 %
27/06/2020 00Z+121.2 %+125.9 %+140.9 %+18.3 %-15 %+50.2 %+20.8 %
26/06/2020 18Z+4 %-53 %+13 %+54.7 %-25.6 %+22.2 %-34.2 %
26/06/2020 12Z+23.2 %-58.2 %+17.3 %-1.3 %-40.2 %+105.2 %+0.8 %
26/06/2020 06Z+5.5 %+263.3 %-6.4 %+33.3 %-25.7 %+79.8 %+9.4 %
26/06/2020 00Z+36 %-46.1 %+110 %+70.3 %-25.4 %+55.9 %-5.8 %
Moyenne+57.4 %+47.5 %+69.3 %+11.3 %-13.6 %+69.8 %+7.7 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
03/07/2020 06Z+0.3 hPa+0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.6 hPa+1 hPa
03/07/2020 00Z+0 hPa+0.5 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.1 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.3 hPa+-0 hPa
02/07/2020 18Z+4 hPa+3.1 hPa+2.2 hPa+4.8 hPa+4.1 hPa+3.3 hPa+3.6 hPa
02/07/2020 12Z-0.5 hPa+0.8 hPa-0.4 hPa-1.3 hPa-1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.2 hPa
02/07/2020 06Z+2.5 hPa+1 hPa+1.2 hPa+1.9 hPa+2.4 hPa+1.7 hPa+2.2 hPa
02/07/2020 00Z+3 hPa+0.8 hPa+2.1 hPa+4.4 hPa+3.3 hPa+1.4 hPa+1.8 hPa
01/07/2020 18Z-1.1 hPa+1.5 hPa-0.8 hPa-2.6 hPa-1.7 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.3 hPa
01/07/2020 12Z-0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa-1 hPa-0.6 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.6 hPa-1 hPa
01/07/2020 06Z-2.1 hPa+0.4 hPa-2.1 hPa-3 hPa-2.1 hPa-0.8 hPa-1.1 hPa
01/07/2020 00Z-0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa-1 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa
30/06/2020 18Z+1.2 hPa+1.4 hPa-1.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+1.8 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.8 hPa
30/06/2020 12Z+1.4 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.3 hPa+1.6 hPa+2 hPa+0.6 hPa+1.2 hPa
30/06/2020 06Z+3.6 hPa+1.5 hPa+2.3 hPa+4.5 hPa+3.3 hPa+2.4 hPa+2.9 hPa
30/06/2020 00Z-1.2 hPa-1.1 hPa-1.9 hPa-1.7 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.3 hPa-0.6 hPa
29/06/2020 18Z-1.1 hPa-2 hPa-2.1 hPa-0.7 hPa+-0 hPa-2.2 hPa-1.5 hPa
29/06/2020 12Z+0.2 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.6 hPa+0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.7 hPa
29/06/2020 06Z+1.2 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.8 hPa+0.5 hPa+1.3 hPa+1 hPa
29/06/2020 00Z+1.5 hPa+0 hPa+0.4 hPa+2.5 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.7 hPa
28/06/2020 18Z+2.4 hPa+2.5 hPa+0.8 hPa+2.7 hPa+2.7 hPa+2.2 hPa+2.5 hPa
28/06/2020 12Z+1.3 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.4 hPa+1.8 hPa+2.3 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.3 hPa
28/06/2020 06Z-0.5 hPa-1.6 hPa-2.9 hPa-0.8 hPa+0.9 hPa-1.8 hPa-0.6 hPa
28/06/2020 00Z+0.4 hPa+0.7 hPa-0.2 hPa-0.7 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.8 hPa+0.9 hPa
27/06/2020 18Z-2.1 hPa-1.4 hPa-0.7 hPa-2.6 hPa-2.7 hPa-1.2 hPa-1.8 hPa
27/06/2020 12Z+1.3 hPa+1.5 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.3 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.3 hPa+1.7 hPa
27/06/2020 06Z+1.7 hPa-0.3 hPa+1.6 hPa+2 hPa+1.6 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.8 hPa
27/06/2020 00Z+0.4 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.1 hPa+1.3 hPa+0.5 hPa-0.3 hPa-0.2 hPa
26/06/2020 18Z+1.4 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.9 hPa+1.7 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.5 hPa
26/06/2020 12Z+0.5 hPa+0.6 hPa-0.8 hPa+0 hPa+0.6 hPa+0.3 hPa+0.6 hPa
26/06/2020 06Z+0.8 hPa+1.1 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.2 hPa+0.3 hPa+1.2 hPa+0.9 hPa
26/06/2020 00Z-1.2 hPa-0.7 hPa-1.5 hPa-1.4 hPa-1.2 hPa-0.9 hPa-0.9 hPa
Moyenne+0.6 hPa+0.4 hPa-0.1 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.7 hPa+0.4 hPa+0.6 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Précisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont réalisés à partir des données de la période 1982-2010. Le modèle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modèle saisonnier qui est lancé une 4 tous les jours avec les données de réanalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 
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