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 • Modèle CFS - Coupled Forecast System

Tendances saisonnières du CFS (Coupled Forecast System)
pour Janvier 2020

Janvier 2020 - Février 2020 - Mars 2020 - Avril 2020 - Mai 2020 - Juin 2020


Anomalie de la température à 2m

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
08/12/2019 18Z+1.6 °C+2.1 °C+2.5 °C+1.9 °C+2.9 °C+1.9 °C+2.9 °C
08/12/2019 12Z-0.6 °C-0.1 °C+0.6 °C-0.1 °C-0.5 °C-1.1 °C-0.4 °C
08/12/2019 06Z+0.5 °C+0.3 °C+1.3 °C+1.4 °C+1.4 °C+0.1 °C+0.7 °C
08/12/2019 00Z+1.4 °C+0.4 °C+1.3 °C+1.2 °C+2.3 °C+-0 °C+1.7 °C
07/12/2019 18Z+3.7 °C+2.3 °C+3.7 °C+2.6 °C+4 °C+2.9 °C+4.4 °C
07/12/2019 12Z+1.8 °C+1.4 °C+2.1 °C+1.9 °C+2.2 °C+1.6 °C+3.2 °C
07/12/2019 06Z-1 °C-2 °C-0.7 °C-0.9 °C-0.3 °C-3.1 °C-1.5 °C
07/12/2019 00Z-0.7 °C+0.5 °C+0.8 °C-0.2 °C-0.8 °C+0.5 °C+1.4 °C
06/12/2019 18Z+1.2 °C+0.7 °C+2.6 °C+1.3 °C+1.2 °C+0.4 °C+1.2 °C
06/12/2019 12Z+2.2 °C+1.1 °C+3.4 °C+1.9 °C+2.2 °C+1 °C+1.9 °C
06/12/2019 06Z+1.3 °C+0.5 °C+2.1 °C+1.8 °C+2 °C+0.6 °C+2.1 °C
06/12/2019 00Z+0.7 °C+0.9 °C+1.6 °C+0.6 °C+1.5 °C+0.4 °C+2 °C
05/12/2019 18Z+0.5 °C+-0 °C+1.1 °C+0.2 °C+1.3 °C-0.9 °C+0.6 °C
05/12/2019 12Z+0.9 °C+1.1 °C+1.4 °C+1.3 °C+1.7 °C+0.9 °C+1.7 °C
05/12/2019 06Z+2.3 °C+1.5 °C+3.2 °C+2.3 °C+2.9 °C+2 °C+2.3 °C
05/12/2019 00Z+1 °C+0.8 °C+0.7 °C+0.8 °C+2.3 °C+0.5 °C+2 °C
04/12/2019 18Z+0.1 °C+0.8 °C+1.9 °C+0.5 °C+0.8 °C+0.3 °C+1.3 °C
04/12/2019 12Z+0.9 °C+-0 °C+1.2 °C+1.1 °C+1.3 °C-0.5 °C+1.4 °C
04/12/2019 06Z+1.5 °C+1.4 °C+2.8 °C+1.3 °C+1.4 °C+1.3 °C+2 °C
04/12/2019 00Z+2.7 °C+1.2 °C+1.7 °C+2 °C+3.5 °C+0.7 °C+2.9 °C
03/12/2019 18Z+2.6 °C+1.4 °C+2.6 °C+1.7 °C+3 °C+1.6 °C+3.3 °C
03/12/2019 12Z+0.1 °C+0.4 °C+0.8 °C+0.1 °C+0.6 °C-0.5 °C+0.7 °C
03/12/2019 06Z-0.3 °C-2 °C-0.6 °C+0.4 °C+0.6 °C-3.2 °C-2 °C
03/12/2019 00Z+0.8 °C-0.6 °C+0.1 °C+0.9 °C+1.9 °C-1.3 °C+0.9 °C
02/12/2019 18Z+1.3 °C+0.4 °C+0.5 °C+1.2 °C+2.6 °C-0.2 °C+1.6 °C
02/12/2019 12Z+3.9 °C+2 °C+3.3 °C+2.6 °C+4.3 °C+3 °C+5 °C
02/12/2019 06Z+1.3 °C+0.4 °C+2 °C+1.4 °C+1.8 °C-0.1 °C+0.4 °C
02/12/2019 00Z-1.1 °C-1.9 °C+0.1 °C-0.5 °C-1.3 °C-3.5 °C-2.3 °C
01/12/2019 18Z-0.7 °C-0.8 °C-1 °C-0.5 °C+0.5 °C-2.9 °C-0.6 °C
01/12/2019 12Z+2.6 °C+2 °C+3.8 °C+2.2 °C+2.9 °C+2.5 °C+3.3 °C
Moyenne+1.1 °C+0.5 °C+1.6 °C+1.1 °C+1.7 °C+0.2 °C+1.5 °C

Anomalie de la température à 850hPa

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
08/12/2019 18Z+4.8 °C+2.2 °C+4.1 °C+3.9 °C+5.1 °C+4 °C+4.9 °C
08/12/2019 12Z-1 °C-1.1 °C-0.1 °C-0.9 °C-1.6 °C-1 °C-1.8 °C
08/12/2019 06Z+2.3 °C-1 °C+1.8 °C+2 °C+2.6 °C+1.4 °C+1.9 °C
08/12/2019 00Z+0.2 °C-1.1 °C+0.1 °C-0.2 °C+0.5 °C+0.1 °C+0.6 °C
07/12/2019 18Z+3 °C+2.6 °C+3.4 °C+2.2 °C+2.8 °C+3.1 °C+3 °C
07/12/2019 12Z+1.1 °C+0.7 °C+1.3 °C+0.8 °C+1 °C+1.4 °C+1.5 °C
07/12/2019 06Z-2 °C-2.5 °C-1 °C-0.8 °C-2.1 °C-2.9 °C-2.8 °C
07/12/2019 00Z-0.7 °C-0.6 °C-0.4 °C-1.2 °C-1.2 °C-0.2 °C-0.2 °C
06/12/2019 18Z+0.2 °C-0.3 °C+0.9 °C-0.2 °C-0.1 °C+0.4 °C+0.2 °C
06/12/2019 12Z+0.6 °C-0.4 °C+1.3 °C+0.5 °C+0.5 °C+0.4 °C+0.4 °C
06/12/2019 06Z+2.3 °C-0.4 °C+1.9 °C+1.8 °C+2.9 °C+1.7 °C+2.6 °C
06/12/2019 00Z+0.7 °C-0.3 °C+1.5 °C+1.4 °C+0.2 °C+0.2 °C+0 °C
05/12/2019 18Z+0.9 °C-1.6 °C+0.8 °C+0.7 °C+1.3 °C-0.6 °C+0.3 °C
05/12/2019 12Z+0.3 °C+0.7 °C+0.7 °C+0.2 °C+0.3 °C+0.6 °C+0.2 °C
05/12/2019 06Z+3 °C-1 °C+3.1 °C+2.3 °C+3.5 °C+1.6 °C+2.3 °C
05/12/2019 00Z+0.8 °C-0.2 °C+0.6 °C+0.6 °C+0.8 °C+0.5 °C+0.9 °C
04/12/2019 18Z+1.5 °C-0.6 °C+1.7 °C+1.6 °C+1.5 °C+0.7 °C+0.9 °C
04/12/2019 12Z-0.5 °C-1.3 °C-0.6 °C-0.1 °C-0.6 °C-1 °C-1.1 °C
04/12/2019 06Z+0.3 °C-0.3 °C+1 °C+0.1 °C-0.1 °C+0 °C-0.4 °C
04/12/2019 00Z+1.2 °C+1.7 °C+1 °C+1.2 °C+1.1 °C+1.3 °C+0.8 °C
03/12/2019 18Z+0.3 °C+0.9 °C+1 °C-0.4 °C+0.3 °C+0.8 °C+0.6 °C
03/12/2019 12Z-0.4 °C-1 °C-0.3 °C-1.1 °C-0.2 °C-0.6 °C-0.3 °C
03/12/2019 06Z-2.3 °C-3.4 °C-2.2 °C-0.6 °C-2 °C-3.9 °C-4 °C
03/12/2019 00Z-1.9 °C-2.9 °C-1.7 °C-0.7 °C-1.5 °C-3 °C-2.2 °C
02/12/2019 18Z+1.7 °C+0.1 °C+1.8 °C+1.5 °C+1.9 °C+1.2 °C+1.3 °C
02/12/2019 12Z+2.2 °C+1.5 °C+2.4 °C+0.8 °C+1.9 °C+2.8 °C+3.1 °C
02/12/2019 06Z+1.8 °C+-0 °C+2.3 °C+1.4 °C+1.6 °C+1 °C+1.3 °C
02/12/2019 00Z-4.5 °C-4.7 °C-3.8 °C-3.2 °C-5.1 °C-4.9 °C-5.3 °C
01/12/2019 18Z-1.8 °C-2.5 °C-1.5 °C-2.1 °C-1.7 °C-2.2 °C-2.4 °C
01/12/2019 12Z+1.7 °C+2.9 °C+3.3 °C+1.3 °C+1.5 °C+2.8 °C+2.3 °C
Moyenne+0.5 °C-0.5 °C+0.8 °C+0.4 °C+0.5 °C+0.2 °C+0.3 °C

Anomalie de quantité de précipitations

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
08/12/2019 18Z-86 %-88.5 %-91 %-77.5 %-80.5 %-88.7 %-83 %
08/12/2019 12Z+10 %-50.4 %-46.3 %-43 %+4.3 %+6.2 %-3.3 %
08/12/2019 06Z-44 %-77.8 %-82.1 %-68.2 %-50.7 %-46.3 %-65.9 %
08/12/2019 00Z+0.1 %-31.3 %+43.3 %-16.3 %+15.6 %+17.9 %-12.5 %
07/12/2019 18Z+31.7 %-80.2 %+1.7 %+17.1 %+79.3 %-4.9 %-2.9 %
07/12/2019 12Z+36.4 %-62.9 %-33.3 %-0.8 %+57.8 %-17.1 %+13.8 %
07/12/2019 06Z-9.1 %+242.2 %+0.9 %-22.8 %-31 %+48.1 %-37.8 %
07/12/2019 00Z-0.6 %+93.3 %+50.6 %+13 %+3.9 %+103.8 %-13 %
06/12/2019 18Z+14.7 %+1.5 %+84.8 %+1 %-14.9 %+116.9 %+9.3 %
06/12/2019 12Z+92.1 %-20.3 %+32.6 %-8.6 %+60.9 %+109.7 %+76.8 %
06/12/2019 06Z-35 %-63.2 %-76.9 %-27.9 %-29.6 %-69.3 %-62.2 %
06/12/2019 00Z+13.8 %-69.1 %+10.9 %-43.4 %+29.9 %+45.5 %+31.6 %
05/12/2019 18Z-69.7 %+29.6 %-69.7 %-59.2 %-71.8 %-51.6 %-62.5 %
05/12/2019 12Z+17.5 %+34.2 %-38.4 %+7.3 %-5.3 %+2.3 %-21.4 %
05/12/2019 06Z-49.1 %+43.1 %-69.6 %-37.5 %-50.4 %-38.3 %-77.2 %
05/12/2019 00Z-46.6 %-92.7 %-59.7 %-44 %-28.9 %-38.3 %-28.5 %
04/12/2019 18Z+19.6 %-75.4 %+7.8 %+20.9 %+27.2 %+29 %-1.4 %
04/12/2019 12Z+45.7 %-9.9 %+141 %+46.6 %+46.9 %+101 %+8.6 %
04/12/2019 06Z+74.4 %-16.9 %+42.1 %+29.1 %+124.2 %+82.6 %+91.9 %
04/12/2019 00Z+1.3 %-41 %-16.6 %-23.4 %-18.9 %-10.8 %-35.9 %
03/12/2019 18Z+73.3 %+28 %+123 %+102.4 %+101.9 %+156.2 %+62.7 %
03/12/2019 12Z+6 %+8 %+36.8 %+21.2 %+4.5 %+75 %+12.3 %
03/12/2019 06Z+29.4 %-60.2 %-40 %-40.2 %+7.1 %+63.8 %+24.6 %
03/12/2019 00Z-0.8 %-74.8 %+40.9 %-36.6 %-11.8 %+50.5 %+19.9 %
02/12/2019 18Z-60.5 %-89.3 %-91.5 %-77.1 %-55.2 %-77.9 %-70.5 %
02/12/2019 12Z+166.7 %-35.3 %+51.7 %+141.6 %+152.6 %+44 %-1.9 %
02/12/2019 06Z-34.8 %-92.2 %-82.7 %-59 %-7.9 %-62.5 %-37.4 %
02/12/2019 00Z+134.2 %+3.2 %+169.4 %+14.4 %+35.6 %+240.8 %+144.1 %
01/12/2019 18Z+46.4 %-83.9 %-12.1 %-33.6 %+50.3 %+41.3 %+38.1 %
01/12/2019 12Z+102.1 %-1.4 %+33.1 %+113.1 %+84.1 %+50.2 %+53.6 %
Moyenne+16 %-24.5 %+2 %-6.4 %+14.3 %+29.3 %-1 %

Anomalie de pression

Date du runParisMarseilleBordeauxBrestLilleLyonStrasbourg
08/12/2019 18Z+11.2 hPa+11.5 hPa+8.2 hPa+9.1 hPa+11.9 hPa+10.8 hPa+11.7 hPa
08/12/2019 12Z+0.7 hPa-0.5 hPa-0.5 hPa+1.1 hPa+1.5 hPa-0.2 hPa+0.4 hPa
08/12/2019 06Z+11.7 hPa+11.8 hPa+9 hPa+10.3 hPa+12.6 hPa+10.8 hPa+12.1 hPa
08/12/2019 00Z-1.1 hPa+2 hPa+0.2 hPa-1.3 hPa-2 hPa+1 hPa-0.6 hPa
07/12/2019 18Z-2 hPa+1.7 hPa-0.7 hPa-3.3 hPa-2.5 hPa+0.2 hPa-1.1 hPa
07/12/2019 12Z+1.5 hPa+3.7 hPa+2.4 hPa+0.7 hPa+1.1 hPa+2.8 hPa+1.5 hPa
07/12/2019 06Z-3.2 hPa-6.7 hPa-5.7 hPa-3.8 hPa-1.5 hPa-5.3 hPa-3.7 hPa
07/12/2019 00Z-10.8 hPa-9.4 hPa-12.8 hPa-13 hPa-8.6 hPa-11.1 hPa-10.2 hPa
06/12/2019 18Z-8.8 hPa-5.1 hPa-7.7 hPa-8.9 hPa-8.6 hPa-7 hPa-8 hPa
06/12/2019 12Z-1.5 hPa+3.1 hPa+0.4 hPa-1.4 hPa-2.1 hPa+1.4 hPa-1 hPa
06/12/2019 06Z+10.4 hPa+12.8 hPa+8.7 hPa+7.8 hPa+10.9 hPa+11.4 hPa+11.5 hPa
06/12/2019 00Z+4.1 hPa+5.4 hPa+5 hPa+5.7 hPa+3.5 hPa+4.7 hPa+3.1 hPa
05/12/2019 18Z+5.4 hPa+3.9 hPa+1.9 hPa+4.6 hPa+7 hPa+4.2 hPa+5.7 hPa
05/12/2019 12Z-2.1 hPa-0.9 hPa-2.8 hPa-4.3 hPa-1.7 hPa-1.6 hPa-1.2 hPa
05/12/2019 06Z+9.5 hPa+12 hPa+6.4 hPa+5.9 hPa+10.7 hPa+10.2 hPa+11.8 hPa
05/12/2019 00Z+5.2 hPa+5.3 hPa+4.7 hPa+5.2 hPa+4.7 hPa+5.1 hPa+4.7 hPa
04/12/2019 18Z-1.3 hPa+1.6 hPa-2 hPa-4 hPa-1.4 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.2 hPa
04/12/2019 12Z-6.2 hPa-3.4 hPa-3.6 hPa-5.9 hPa-6.6 hPa-4.1 hPa-5.6 hPa
04/12/2019 06Z-2 hPa+1.6 hPa-0.4 hPa-2.5 hPa-2.3 hPa+0.1 hPa-1.5 hPa
04/12/2019 00Z+5.7 hPa+5.4 hPa+6.6 hPa+6.5 hPa+5.1 hPa+6.1 hPa+5.6 hPa
03/12/2019 18Z-14 hPa-7.9 hPa-10.4 hPa-16.2 hPa-15.4 hPa-9.7 hPa-12.1 hPa
03/12/2019 12Z-5.4 hPa-3.3 hPa-5.7 hPa-6.4 hPa-4.6 hPa-4.3 hPa-4.2 hPa
03/12/2019 06Z+1.4 hPa-1.4 hPa+2.3 hPa+3.4 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.3 hPa-0.1 hPa
03/12/2019 00Z+4.7 hPa+4.6 hPa+6.5 hPa+6.6 hPa+4.1 hPa+5.2 hPa+3.5 hPa
02/12/2019 18Z+9.6 hPa+8.6 hPa+8.2 hPa+9.8 hPa+9.4 hPa+8.8 hPa+9.2 hPa
02/12/2019 12Z-10.8 hPa-2.6 hPa-7.6 hPa-13.7 hPa-12.1 hPa-5.8 hPa-8.2 hPa
02/12/2019 06Z+7.2 hPa+8.6 hPa+5.9 hPa+6 hPa+7.4 hPa+8.1 hPa+8.2 hPa
02/12/2019 00Z-8.7 hPa-9 hPa-5.2 hPa-3.3 hPa-7.6 hPa-8.9 hPa-10.9 hPa
01/12/2019 18Z+4.8 hPa+3.8 hPa+4.7 hPa+6.8 hPa+5.1 hPa+4.1 hPa+3.6 hPa
01/12/2019 12Z-12.2 hPa-6.4 hPa-11.3 hPa-16.4 hPa-12.3 hPa-8.8 hPa-9.9 hPa
Moyenne+0.1 hPa+1.7 hPa+0.2 hPa-0.5 hPa+0.2 hPa+1 hPa+0.5 hPa

Cartes d'anomalie pour le dernier run de CFS

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Précisions
Les calculs d'anomalies sont réalisés à partir des données de la période 1982-2010. Le modèle Coupled Forecast System (CFSv2) est donc un modèle saisonnier qui est lancé une 4 tous les jours avec les données de réanalyse du NCEP. Les runs ont environ 1 jour de retard puisque le temps de calcul du modèle est très long.

 
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